By Manuel Müller
This text will be updated as new events occur. Last update: 18 July 2024.
This text will be updated as new events occur. Last update: 18 July 2024.
- The next European elections have taken place from 6 to 9 June 2024!
In early June 2024, European citizens will vote for the tenth time to elect the European Parliament. The stakes are high: According to the latest polls, the far-right camp could do better than ever before, which could also affect the balance of power within the informal “grand coalition of the pro-European centre” on which most of the Parliament’s decisions are based.
But the election will not only decide the composition of the Parliament, it will also play a decisive role in the appointment of the next European Commission. Whoever wants to lead the next European executive should come out on top in three stages: In the primary season, the European parties adopt their manifestos and nominate lead candidates. This is followed by the electoral campaign in the spring of 2024, when the candidates present themselves to the European public. However, the real decision in the race for the Commission presidency will only happen after the election – when a candidate must secure a majority both in the European Parliament and among the heads of state and government in the European Council.
Here is an overview of the most important dates and events. To jump directly to the current position in the calendar, click here.
Primary season
By now, the lead candidates system has become a normal part of the EU democracy: For the third time, European parties will nominate candidates for the Commission presidency. Whether one of these candidates actually wins the job will, of course, depend on the majorities after the election. But it is clear that this time the European Parliament wants to make the process work – and that any potential candidate would therefore be well advised to secure the support of their party in good time.
The exact procedure and timetable for these lead candidate nominations varies from party to party. Most of them do so on European party congresses, where they also adopt their election programme – often referred to as “manifesto”. The primary season is already in full swing and will continue until spring 2024.
| 13 October 2023: EDP: party congress in Mainz |
| The congress of the European Democratic Party was used to discuss party-internal affairs and to prepare the campaign. The presentation of the electoral manifesto and the nomination of a leading candidate will only take place at a party convention in Florence in early March. |
| 13-14 October 2023: EFA: party congress in Strasbourg |
At the party congress, the European Free Alliance adopted the election manifesto and nominated two lead candidates:
|
| 20-21 October 2023: ALDE: party council in Bucharest |
| At the party council, the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe finalised the procedure for appointing its lead candidate. |
| 10-11 November 2023: PES: party congress in Málaga |
| With the congress in Málaga, the Party of European Socialists launched the process for nominating its lead candidate. Applications are possible until 17 January 2024. |
| 24 November 2023 ID: party congress in Lisbon |
| As in 2014 and 2019, the Identity and Democracy party congress did neither nominate a lead candidate nor adopt a joint manifesto. |
| 27 November 2023: Volt: general assembly in Paris |
| The general assembly delegates elected a new party board and adopted the European electoral programme. The Volt lead candidates for the European Parliament election were only nominated in April 2024. |
| 28 November 2023: EGP: closing date for lead candidate applications |
Four applicants were proposed by their respective national parties or EGP sub-organisations to become lead candidates of the European Green Party:
|
| 2 December 2023: EGP: online party congress |
| At the online congress, the four candidates introduced themselves to the party members. |
| 3 December 2023 ID: campaign event in Florence |
| National ID party leaders met for a common campaign event in Florence. |
| 7 January 2024: EGP: closing date for the submission of support declarations |
| Potential EGP lead candidates had to submit declarations of support from at least five other EGP member parties (in addition to the member party that had proposed them). All four contenders received the necessary endorsements and will therefore be eligible to stand at the party’s electoral congress on 2-4 February. |
| 17 January 2024: PES: closing date for lead candidate applications |
| Potential PES lead candidates had to be proposed by one member party and endorsed by eight others by 17 January. Nicolas Schmit (LSAP, currently EU commissioner for employment and social affairs) was the only one to meet this requirement and will therefore become the PES lead candidate. Katarina Barley (SPD, currently vice-president of the European Parliament) was also considered a possible candidate, but did not submit an application. Schmit will be formally elected as the PES lead candidate at a party congress in March. |
| 27 January 2024: PPEU: general assembly in Luxembourg |
The delegates of the European Pirate Party’s general assembly adopted a common electoral programme and nominated two lead candidates:
|
| 2-4 February 2024: EGP: party congress in Lyon |
At the party congress, the European Greens adopted their electoral manifesto and nominated two lead candidates:
|
| Eickhout (57% of the delegates’ votes) and Reintke (55%) prevailed over Elīna Pinto (Progresīvie, currently communication officer at the representation of the European Commission in Luxembourg, 24%) and Benedetta Scuderi (Europa Verde, currently chair of the EGP youth organisation FYEG, 20%). |
| Moreover, the party congress admitted two new member parties to the EGP: Možemo from Croatia and DSVL from Lithuania). |
| 21 February 2024: EPP: closing date for lead candidate applications |
| Potential lead candidates of the European People’s Party had to be proposed by their respective national party and supported by to additional EPP member parties by 21 February. |
| On 19 February, the incumbent Commission President Ursula von der Leyen (CDU) presented her application. She was proposed by the German CDU and supported by the Polish PO and the Greek ND. Since she is the only contender, she is certain to be nominated as lead candidate at the EPP congress in early March. |
| 22 February 2024: ECPM: board meeting |
| The board of the European Christian Political Movement nominated Valeriu Ghilețchi (no national party, currently ECPM party chairman, former member of the Moldovan parliament) as its lead candidate. However, as Ghilețchi is not a citizen of the European Union, he cannot become a member of the European Commission. |
| 24-25 February 2024: EL: general assembly in Ljubljana |
| The general assembly of the European Left, consisting of the party executive and the leaders of the national member parties, has adopted its election manifesto and nominated Walter Baier (KPÖ, currently EL party chairman) as its lead candidate. Baier was the only contender for the position. |
| 1-2 March 2024: PES: party congress in Rome |
| Congress delegates have adopted the PES manifesto and endorsed Nicolas Schmit (LSAP, currently EU commissioner for employment and social affairs) as their lead candidate. As Schmit was the only candidate to submit an application, he was endorsed by acclamation rather than a formal ballot. |
| 6-7 March 2024: EPP: party congress in Bucharest |
| The delegates of the EPP congress have adopted the EPP manifesto and nominated Ursula von der Leyen (CDU, currently EU Commission president) as their lead candidate. Von der Leyen had been the only contender to submit an application and was elected by 400 votes to 89. Of the 801 EPP delegate members, 737 were entitled to vote, but only 499 took part in the ballot; 10 votes were invalid. |
| 7 March 2024 ID: lead candidate nomination |
| The ID parliamentary group has announced that Anders Vistisen (DF, currently a member of the European Parliament) will represent ID in the lead candidate debates to which the party has been invited. |
| While Vistisen is de facto taking on the role of lead candidate, representing the party during the campaign, the ID group insists that he is not a candidate for the Commission presidency, as the right to nominate for this position should only belong to member states. Moreover, given its political outsider position, ID does not expect to obtain any EU top job anyway. |
| 7-8 March 2024: EFA: general assembly in Brussels |
| During the general assembly, the EFA lead candidates Raül Romeva and Maylis Roßberg presented the election manifesto, which had already been adopted in October 2023. |
| 8 March 2024: EDP: party convention in Florence |
| The delegates of the EDP convention have adopted their election manifesto and nominated Sandro Gozi (IV, currently a member of the European Parliament) as their lead candidate. Together with the ALDE lead candidate and a candidate of the French Renaissance party, Gozi will belong to the “Team Europe” of the common campaign of the Renew Europe group, which will be launched in late March. |
| 20-21 March 2024: ALDE: party congress in Brussels |
| The delegates of the ALDE congress have adopted their election manifesto and nominated Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann (FDP, currently a member of the German Bundestag and a candidate for the European Parliament) as their lead candidate. Strack-Zimmermann had been proposed by her party on 11 March and was the only contender for the role. Previously, Xavier Bettel (DP, currently foreign minister of Luxembourg) and Kaja Kallas (RE, currently prime minister of Estonia), who were also seen as possible candidates, had ruled themselves out. |
| Strack-Zimmermann, the EDP lead candidate, and a candidate of the French Renaissance party will together form the “Team Europe” of the common Renew Europe campaign. |
| 20 March 2024: RE: campaign kick-off in Brussels |
The Renew Europe group in the European Parliament, comprising the European parties ALDE and EDP as well as additional national parties, organizes a common electoral campaign. The launch of the joint campaign took place in the framework of the ALDE party congress. It included the adoption of a common platform and the presentation of a “Team Europe”, which consists of one candidate from each of the three parties.
|
| 7 April 2024: Volt: campaign launch in Brussels |
| At their campaign launch event, Volt nominated two lead candidates: Damian Boeselager (Volt Germany) and Sophie in ’t Veld (Volt Netherlands, both currently MEPs). In addition, the party presented a symbolic “transnational list” with candidates from 20 different member states. |
| 17 May 2024 ECR: party council in Strasbourg |
| The ECR party council has adopted the election manifesto. The party does not nominate a lead candidate. |
Electoral campaign
In the past, European election campaigns have been fought mainly at national level – and this is likely to also be the case in 2024. However, a number of events in the weeks leading up to the election are likely to resonate across Europe and could influence the campaign.
| 21-22 March 2024: European Council meeting in Brussels |
| The spring meeting in Brussels was the last regular European Council before the elections. The agenda included support for Ukraine in the face of Russia’s war of aggression, security and defence, the unfolding situation in the Middle East, enlargement, external relations, migration, agriculture and (as always in the spring) the European Semester. In December 2023, the European Council had agreed to also dedicate its next meetings to the question of internal EU reform. However, a reform roadmap will only be decided after the European elections at a later meeting of the European Council. |
| 3-4 April 2024: NATO foreign ministers meeting |
| At their meeting to mark the 75th anniversary of the organisation, NATO foreign ministers discussed the appointment of the next NATO secretary general, who is due to take office in October 2024. The favourite for the post is Mark Rutte (VVD/ALDE, currently acting prime minister of the Netherlands), who is supported by most major member states. However, his candidacy is openly opposed by Hungary, which would prefer a candidate from Central-Eastern Europe. This sentiment is shared by several other countries of the region. |
| Possible alternatives are Krišjānis Kariņš (V/EPP, currently foreign minister of Latvia) and Klaus Iohannis (PNL/EPP, currently Romanian president), who have both applied for the post. Estonian prime minister Kaja Kallas (RE/ALDE), who was seen as another potential contender, has declared her support for Rutte’s candidacy. |
| While EU and NATO are different organisations, the NATO appointment is likely to have an impact on the upcoming “EU top jobs” negotiations. |
| 17-18 April 2024: Special meeting of the European Council in Brussels |
| At their last meeting before the election, the heads of state and government discuss foreign policy as well as the Letta report on the future of the single market. The meeting was also meant to prepare the Strategic Agenda for 2024-29, which the European Council plans to adopt in June. |
| 22-25 April 2024: Last plenary session of the outgoing European Parliament |
| The plenary session at the end of April was the last opportunity to complete legislative procedures before the European elections. The agenda included several issues from agricultural to industrial and sustainability policy, including the due diligence directive and the net-zero industry act, as well as an extension of the free-trade agreement with Ukraine. However, unlike in many national parliaments, unfinished business can be taken up again in the next parliamentary term. |
| 29 April 2024: Lead candidates: Maastricht debate |
| The lead candidates of most European parties met in Maastricht for a web-streamed debate organised by Studio Europa Maastricht and Politico. A recording of the debate is available here. |
| 21 May 2024: Lead candidates: Bruegel / Financial Times debate |
| The lead candidates of several European parties met for a web-streamed debate on economic topics, organised by Bruegel and the Financial Times. A recording of the debate is available here. |
| 23 May 2024: Lead candidates: Eurovision debate |
| As in 2014 and 2019, the European Broadcasting Union EBU organised a new edition of its Eurovision debate format, a televised debate with the lead candidates of the major European parties. The debate took place in the European Parliament and was also webstreamed on its website. A recording of it is available here. |
| 6-9 June 2024: European Parliament election |
| As usual, the European elections were held separately for each member state. Specific electoral rules, including the opening hours of the polling stations, varied from country to country. In the Netherlands, elections were held on 6 June, in Ireland on 7 June, in the Czech Republic on 7 and 8 June, in Slovakia, Latvia and Malta on 8 June, and in Italy on 8 and 9 June. In all other member states, the election took place on Sunday, 9 June. |
| From 18:15 CEST on 9 June, the European Parliament started publishing national exit polls and projections on its website. (In countries voting on 6, 7 or 8 June, unofficial national results were circulating already before then.) The first projections for the EU-wide result were published from 20:15 CEST. However, polling stations in Italy did not close until 23:00 CEST, so the full picture of the next European Parliament emerged only later in the night. |
After the election
After the elections, the political groups in the European Parliament (re-)constitute themselves and recruit new members. This process is particularly interesting for parties that have entered the Parliament for the first time and don’t belong to a European party yet. Also other national parties sometimes use this phase in order to change groups. At least 25 MEPs from seven countries are needed to form a group; all current political groups are expected to reach this quorum again in 2024.
At the same time as the political groups are reconstituting themselves, the crucial phase of appointing the new Commission begins. Whoever wants to become Commission president must now organise a majority in two institutions: among the heads of state and government in the European Council and among the members of the European Parliament. Negotiations in the Parliament are likely to focus on the four groups of the pro-European centre (EPP, S&D, RE, Greens/EFA). The EPP would like to also include some member parties of the ECR, but this is rejected by the other three groups. S&D, RE and Greens/EFA might even insist that the EPP accepts some formal commitment (or coalition agreement) not to cooperate with any far-right parties.
Once the Commission president has been elected, the way will be open for the appointment of the other commissioners. They are proposed by the national governments and need a confirmation vote from the European Parliament.
| 11 June 2024: Meeting of the (old) Conference of Presidents in Brussels |
| Two days after the European election ends, the presidents of the political groups in the outgoing Parliament met to discuss the election of the new Commission president and prepare decisions, also with a view to the informal meeting of the European Council on 17 June. However, the meeting remained short and only resulted in a re-commitment to the lead candidate system. |
| 12 June 2024: Greens/EFA group: re-constitution |
| The Greens/EFA group held its constitutive meeting. The new group presidents were elected on 19 June. |
| 12 June 2024: Left group: re-constitution |
| The Left group held its constitutive meeting. The new group presidents were elected on 3 July. |
| 13-15 June 2024: G7 summit in Apulia |
| A few days after the election, a Group of Seven (G7) summit took place in Italy, attended by the heads of state and government of Germany, France and Italy as well as outgoing Commission president Ursula von der Leyen (CDU/EPP). The G7 is not organisationally linked to the EU; the other G7 members (USA, Canada, UK, and Japan) are not part of the EU. However, the summit provided a forum for possible informal talks between the three largest EU member states with a view to the informal meeting of the European Council a few days later. |
| 17 June 2024: Informal meeting of the European Council |
| Members of the European Council had a first “informal meeting” one week after the election. The heads of state and government discussed the next Commission presidency, with a view to officially nominating a candidate at their formal meeting on 27-28 June. |
| At the same time, the heads of state and government also discussed who will become the new EU high representative for foreign affairs and security policy and the new president of the European Council. Together with the Commission presidency, these posts are often referred to as the “EU top jobs”. The nominations usually form a package that is balanced in terms of party affiliation (EPP, PES, ALDE), country groups (western and eastern, northern and southern, large and small member states) and gender. |
| In 2019, the European Council also included proposals for other posts in this package, such as the Commission vice-presidents or the president of the Parliament. This year, the post of NATO secretary general is also likely to be part of the negotiations. Formally, however, only the proposals for the three “EU top jobs” fall within the remit of the European Council. |
| Even before the meeting on 17 June, Ursula von der Leyen (CDU/EPP, Commission President), António Costa (PS/PES, Council President) and Kaja Kallas (RE/ALDE, High Representative) were considered the favourites for the top jobs. However, no agreement on their nomination was reached at the meeting. |
| 18-19 June 2024: EPP group: re-constitution |
| In its constitutive meeting, the EPP group re-elected Manfred Weber (CSU) as its group president. He was the only contender. |
| 19 June 2024: Greens/EFA group: election of the group presidents |
| The Greens/EFA group elected the two election lead candidates, Terry Reintke (Grüne) and Bas Eickhout (GroenLinks) as its co-presidents. They were the only contenders. |
| 25-26 June 2024: S&D group: re-constitution |
| In its constitutive meeting, the S&D group re-elected Iratxe García Pérez (PSOE) as its group president. She was the only contender and received unanimous support in the vote. |
| 26 June 2024: RE group: re-constitution |
| In its constitutive meeting, the RE group re-elected Valérie Hayer (RE) as its group president. She was the only contender after her ALDE-backed challenger João Fernando Cotrim de Figueiredo (IL) withdrew his candidature shortly before the election. |
| 27 June 2024: Meeting of the (new) Conference of Presidents in Brussels |
| The newly elected presidents of the parliamentary groups will meet to discuss the election of the new Commission president. This occasion will likely be used to react to the informal meeting of the European Council on 17 June and to send a signal with a view to the formal meeting of the European Council on 27-28 June. |
| 27-28 June 2024: European Council meeting |
| At the first official European Council meeting after the election, national leaders formally proposed candidates for the Commission presidency and for the role of EU high representative for foreign affairs and security policy, and elected the new European Council president. These decisions all required a qualified majority (approval by 55% of the members whose countries represent 65% of the EU’s population). |
| A few days before the meeting, negotiators from the EPP (Kyriakos Mitsotakis and Donald Tusk), PES (Pedro Sánchez and Olaf Scholz) and Renew Europe (Emmanuel Macron and Mark Rutte) had agreed on the nomination of Ursula von der Leyen (CDU/EPP, Commission President), António Costa (PS/PES, Council President) and Kaja Kallas (RE/ALDE, High Representative). As these three groups together have the necessary majority in the European Council, the trio was nominated at the meeting. Italy’s Giorgia Meloni (FdI/ECR) and Hungary’s Viktor Orbán (Fidesz/–) criticised the agreement and voted against the nominations or abstained. |
| Moreover, the European Council has also adopted its Strategic Agenda for 2024-29 as well as a “roadmap for future work on internal reforms”. The meeting, which was scheduled to last two days, ended already on the evening of 27 June. |
| 30 June 2024: France: Parliamentary elections, first round |
| The French parliamentary elections are drawing much political attention and also influence debates around the re-constitution of the European Parliament and the election of the European Commission. |
| 3 July 2024: ECR group: re-constitution |
| In its constitutive meeting, the ECR group elected Nicola Procaccini (FdI) and Joachim Brudziński (PiS) as group presidents. The meeting had originally been planned for 27 June, but was postponed due to internal conflicts. |
| 3 July 2024: Left group: election of the group president |
| The Left group re-elected Manon Aubry (LFI) and Martin Schirdewan (Die Linke) as group co-presidents. |
| 4 July 2024: “Cut-off day” for the formation of political groups |
| By 4 July, the political groups had to send a list of their members to the European Parliament’s administration. It is still possible for groups to accept new members or for completely new groups to be founded after this date. However, the strength of the groups reached by 4 July will determine the distribution of other important positions, such as vice-presidencies or committee chairs, to be elected in the first plenary session. |
| 7 July 2024: France: Parliamentary elections, second round |
| The French parliamentary elections are drawing much political attention and also influence debates around the re-constitution of the European Parliament and the election of the European Commission. |
| 8 July 2024: ID group: constitutive meeting (canceled) |
| The ID group had scheduled its constitutive meeting for 8 July. However, most ID member parties announced that they would leave ID and join the new Patriots for Europe group, which constituted itself the same day. As a result, ID was unable to re-constitute itself and ceased to exist. |
| 8 July 2024: PfE group: constitutive meeting |
| In its constitutive meeting, the new Patriots for Europe group, which includes most former ID members as well as the Czech ANO and the Hungarian Fidesz, elected Jordan Bardella (RN) as its president. Bardella also had been the prime ministerial candidate of the RN for the French legislative elections, but had failed to secure an absolute majority in the second round. |
| 10 July 2024: ESN group: constitutive meeting |
| In its constitutive meeting, the new Europe of Sovereign Nations group, which includes the German AfD as well as smaller far-right parties, elected René Aust (AfD) and Stanisław Tyszka (Konfederacja) as its presidents. |
| 16-19 July 2024: First plenary session: Election of the Commission president |
| At the first plenary session, shortly before the summer recess, the European Parliament re-elected Roberta Metsola (PN/EPP) for a new term as President of the European Parliament. Metsola won against the only opposing candidate, Irene Montero (Podemos/EL), by 562 votes to 61. In addition to the parliamentary presidency, elections were also held for other parliamentary posts, such as committee chairs. The term of office is two and a half years (half of the parliamentary term); the positions will be renewed at the beginning of 2027. |
| On 18 July, the European Parliament re-elected Ursula von der Leyen (CDU/EPP), who had been nominated by the European Council in its June meeting, as Commission president. Von der Leyen needed to win a majority of all 720 MEPs (i.e., 360 votes) in a secret ballot. She received 401 votes, 284 MEPs voted against, 22 cast blank or invalid votes. |
| Before the vote, von der Leyen gave a speech to outline her political guidelines for the term. She will formally take office as the new Commission president once the Commission as a whole has been confirmed by the Parliament in a later vote. |
| Summer 2024: Nomination of the Commission members |
| After the election of the Commission president, the other members of the European Commission are nominated. The Commission consists of one commissioner from each member state. According to art. 17 (7) (2) TEU, the list of proposed commissioners is adopted jointly by the EU Council “on the basis of the suggestions made by member states”. In practice, however, each national government nominates one commissioner and the Council merely rubber-stamps the proposals. An overview of the expected candidates can be found here. |
| Once the commissioners have been nominated, the Commission president-elect assigns them portfolios. In practice, this is partly a process of negotiation with the national governments, which propose suitable commissioners depending on the portfolio assigned. |
| Fall 2024: Parliamentary hearings |
| After the list of commissioners is finalised, the European Parliament votes on their election. Formally, the Parliament can only approve or reject the college of commissioners as a whole. In the event of rejection, the Council must propose a new list. |
| In practice, however, the Parliament can also reject individual candidates. To this end, proposed commissioners are “grilled” in committee hearings by the MEPs responsible for their portfolio, usually over several hours. If a committee is unhappy with a candidate, the Parliament informally asks the Council to amend the list of commissioners before voting on the Commission as a whole. Since 2004, this has been the case after every European election. Every time, the Council (or rather the national government of the country concerned) has complied with the Parliament’s request and nominated an alternative candidate. |
| 1 December 2024: New president of the European Council takes office |
| António Costa (PS/PES), who was appointed president of the European Council by the heads of state and government at their June meeting, will take office. The European Council presidency lasts for two and a half years and is not formally linked to the terms of office of the Commission and Parliament. |
| Fall/Winter 2024: Election of the Commission |
| Once all the committees have signalled their approval of the candidates they have questioned, the plenary of the European Parliament votes on the new Commission. If a majority of MEPs vote in favour, the new Commission can take office. The term of office is five years – until the 2029 European elections. |
Picture: Ballot box: By Isabela.Zanella [CC BY-SA 4.0], via Wikimedia Commons [retouched].
Keine Kommentare:
Kommentar veröffentlichen
Kommentare sind hier herzlich willkommen und werden nach der Sichtung freigeschaltet. Auch wenn anonyme Kommentare technisch möglich sind, ist es für eine offene Diskussion hilfreich, wenn Sie Ihre Beiträge mit Ihrem Namen kennzeichnen. Um einen interessanten Gedankenaustausch zu ermöglichen, sollten sich Kommentare außerdem unmittelbar auf den Artikel beziehen und möglichst auf dessen Argumentation eingehen. Bitte haben Sie Verständnis, dass Meinungsäußerungen ohne einen klaren inhaltlichen Bezug zum Artikel hier in der Regel nicht veröffentlicht werden.